In December 2025, Thai merchandise exports surged 16.8% YOY to USD 28.8 billion, driven by strong demand for electronics and gold, particularly in the US market. Imports also rose 18.8%, leading to a trade deficit. 2025’s overall export growth was 12.9%.

Thailand’s GDP is projected to grow 1.8% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, facing domestic and global challenges, including trade tensions and a strong baht. The government should focus on stabilizing, stimulating the economy, and structural reforms to attract foreign investment.

Thailand’s economy is projected to grow only 1.5% in 2026, the lowest in three decades, due to external pressures from trade wars and competition, alongside domestic structural issues. Urgent reforms are needed to boost resilience and economic potential amid rising uncertainties.