MPC将政策利率降至1.75%,评估泰国经济放缓及贸易风险上升,未提供基线预测。

MPC将政策利率降至1.75%,评估泰国经济放缓及贸易风险上升,未提供基线预测。


The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 5-2 to reduce the policy rate by 0.25% to 1.75%. This decision reflects concerns about a potential slowdown in Thailand’s economy, influenced by increasing risks from U.S. trade policies and decreased foreign tourist arrivals. Inflation is expected to remain below target, maintaining tight financial conditions. Moving forward, the MPC anticipates a prolonged trade war, leading to structural changes in global trade and heightened economic uncertainty.

In contrast to previous forecasts, the MPC did not provide a baseline prediction amid ongoing uncertainties. Instead, they proposed two scenarios for Thailand’s economic forecast, accounting for various trade conditions. The committee emphasized the need for adaptive monetary policies as global trade tensions evolve, distinguishing current measures from those taken during the global financial crisis.

泰国货币政策委员会(MPC)以5比2的投票结果将政策利率下调0.25%,至1.75%。这一决定反映出对泰国经济可能放缓的担忧,受美国贸易政策增加风险和外国游客到达量减少的影响。预计通货膨胀将低于目标,金融状况仍然紧张。展望未来,MPC预计贸易战将持续,导致全球贸易结构性的变化,并增加经济不确定性。

与以往的预测不同,由于持续的不确定性,MPC并未提供基准预测,而是提出了两种关于泰国经济前景的情景。委员会强调,在全球贸易紧张局势不断演变的情况下,需要适应性货币政策,以区别于全球金融危机期间的应对措施。

Source : MPC按预期降低政策率; SCB EIC预计到年底会再削减两次至1.25%

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