Key View

  • Vietnam is strategically expanding domestic natural gas production and infrastructure, with output projected to rise from 8.0bcm in 2025 to 20.1bcm by 2034, supported by major upstream developments such as Nam Du/U Minh and Ca Voi Xanh.
  • Rapidly rising energy consumption across the power, transport and industrial sectors will drive strong growth in natural gas demand, supported by major LNG infrastructure buildout and government incentives, though risks persist from project delays, supply shortfalls and regulatory challenges.
  • Natural gas is set for robust growth as a transitional fuel in Vietnam’s energy mix, with gas-fired power capacity expanding rapidly and more than 20 LNG-fired power plants planned, supported by strong policy momentum through Power Development Plan VIII.

Vietnam’s Natural Gas Sector Drives Energy Transition

Vietnam is making significant strides in its energy transition, with the natural gas sector playing a pivotal role. As the country seeks to diversify its energy mix, natural gas offers a cleaner alternative to coal, helping to reduce carbon emissions. This shift is part of Vietnam’s broader strategy to meet growing energy demands while adhering to environmental commitments.

Investment in natural gas infrastructure is ramping up, with several projects underway to enhance production and distribution capabilities. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) imports are on the rise, facilitating greater energy security and stability. Partnerships with international energy companies are crucial, bringing in technology and expertise to support Vietnam’s evolving energy landscape.

The transition is not without challenges, but the potential benefits are significant. By embracing natural gas, Vietnam aims to create a sustainable energy future, fostering economic growth while tackling climate change. This shift heralds a promising era for Vietnam, balancing energy needs with environmental responsibility.

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SCB EIC expects CLMV economic growth in 2025 to slow down slightly, in line with the global economic slowdown.

SCB EIC predicts CLMV economies to slow down in 2025 due to global economic factors and Trump 2.0 policies, but domestic demand and ASEAN growth will support growth. Country-specific factors will shape economic prospects, with Vietnam expected to have the strongest growth. Trade and investment between Thailand and CLMV are also expected to increase.