Key View

  • Thailand’s LPG consumption will remain supported by sustained demand growth from the residential, non-energy uses and petrochemical sectors.
  • Downside risks to LPG demand will stem from dwindling demand from the transport sector.
  • LPG production is projected to rise marginally against the backdrop of Gas Separation Plant (GSP) and refining capacity expansions.

Thailand’s liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) market has been undergoing significant transformations driven by evolving economic, environmental, and policy dynamics. Traditionally, LPG has been a popular energy source in Thailand, widely used in both residential cooking and the transportation sector. However, recent shifts in global energy trends and domestic policy interventions are reshaping its role. Rising international LPG prices and government initiatives focused on reducing energy subsidies have prompted stakeholders to reassess Thailand’s energy mix and its sustainability avenues.

In response to these changes, there is a growing emphasis in Thailand on promoting alternative energy sources. The government is encouraging a shift towards cleaner energy, including natural gas and renewable options like solar and wind, which are gaining traction. This transition is partly fueled by environmental concerns and Thailand’s commitment to reducing carbon emissions. The decision to reduce subsidies for LPG further underscores the government’s determination to make way for more sustainable energy solutions and to allocate resources efficiently.

The changing market dynamics present both challenges and opportunities for stakeholders. While traditional LPG suppliers face a contracting market, new opportunities are emerging in developing infrastructure for alternative energy sources. Moreover, consumers are becoming more receptive to adopting new technologies and energy-efficient solutions. This transition not only reflects a shift in energy paradigms but also aligns with the global trend towards sustainability and conservation. The evolving LPG market in Thailand is a testament to an adaptive approach in balancing economic growth, energy security, and environmental sustainability.

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Outlook Quarter 4/2024

SCB EIC downgraded the global economic forecast for 2025 due to geopolitical tensions and trade protectionism by Trump 2.0. Uncertain monetary policies are expected, with the US Fed being cautious. Thailand’s economy may expand in Q4 but face challenges from Trump 2.0 in the second half of 2025.