Between operational and announced projects, annual recycling capacity will greatly surpass the expected 341,000 EV-equivalents of batteries available for recycling
NEW YORK, March 13, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Heavy investment from the private sector and the U.S. government has led to plans for battery recycling outpacing demand. According to new research from global technology intelligence firm ABI Research, U.S. Electric Vehicle (EV) battery recycling plants plan to have the capacity to recycle 1.3 million EV-equivalents of batteries annually, but only 341,000 will be available by 2030.
"There are concerns about a lack of capacity for EV battery recycling, but the opposite is true. Current plans for recycling plants see capacity greatly outstripping the supplies of waste batteries. This will lead to uneconomic utilization rates or, more likely, a delay or scaling down in recycling projects," says Dylan Khoo, Electric Vehicles Industry Analyst at ABI Research.
In 2030, around one-third of waste EV batteries will be end-of-life batteries installed in cars, having reached the end of their useful lives, and are then recycled. The rest will come from factory scrap: batteries that do not pass quality control on production lines and go directly to recycling. For the planned battery recycling plants to reach a viable utilization rate, there must either be a massive reduction in EV battery lifespans or a gigafactory yield rate, neither of which is likely.
Given the expected shortage of waste EV batteries, battery recyclers must be highly competitive to win. A superior recycling process, such as Ascend Elements‘ more efficient hydro-to-cathode direct recycling process, could be a key advantage. Recyclers that are also building up a supply chain of non-recycled materials to ensure a consistent output of processed materials, such as Redwood Materials, will also be better poised to make it through the supply shortage without scaling back their plans.
"We expect to see a revision of recycling plant plans to account for the shortage of waste EV batteries and an increase in demand for these batteries, which will put pressure on recyclers. This will have knock-on effects, further weakening the business case for second-life applications, as used batteries are more likely to go directly to recycling rather than be reused," concludes Khoo.
These findings are from ABI Research’s Securing the EV Supply Chain: Battery Recycling in the United States application analysis report. This report is part of the company’s Electric Vehicles research service, which includes research, data, and ABI Insights.. Based on extensive primary interviews, Application Analysis reports present an in-depth analysis of key market trends and factors for a specific technology.
About ABI Research
ABI Research is a global technology intelligence firm uniquely positioned at the intersection of technology solution providers and end-market companies. We serve as the bridge that seamlessly connects these two segments by providing exclusive research and expert guidance to drive successful technology implementations and deliver strategies proven to attract and retain customers.
ABI Research是一家全球性的技术情报公司，拥有得天独厚的优势，充当终端市场公司和技术解决方案提供商之间的桥梁，通过提供独家研究和专业性指导，推动成功的技术实施和提供经证明可吸引和留住客户的战略，无缝连接这两大主体。
For more information about ABI Research’s services, contact us at +1.516.624.2500 in the Americas, +44.203.326.0140 in Europe, +65.6592.0290 in Asia-Pacific, or visit www.abiresearch.com.
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